Race 7B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robby Gearon 22.1% 22.8% 16.8% 14.5% 9.7% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 9.5% 11.4% 13.2% 14.2% 12.6% 11.2% 10.9% 8.8% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sean Beaulieu 11.9% 9.7% 14.4% 11.4% 12.2% 11.7% 13.0% 8.6% 4.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Jeffrey Adam 7.1% 8.7% 10.4% 13.2% 11.7% 12.4% 11.6% 10.6% 6.2% 5.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Emma Haley 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 3.8% 5.2% 6.6% 8.8% 11.0% 14.4% 15.9% 15.7% 9.2%
Amy Macdonald 2.0% 1.6% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 7.8% 12.7% 17.6% 21.4% 16.6%
Matthew Orgill 3.6% 4.1% 4.6% 4.7% 6.4% 8.8% 10.1% 12.2% 13.8% 14.1% 11.3% 6.3%
Sophie Hibben 26.0% 22.3% 16.3% 11.9% 9.4% 7.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 3.4% 3.7% 7.8% 10.5% 20.2% 46.3%
Thomas Beardsley 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 6.3% 7.8% 12.5% 15.8% 21.4% 19.8%
Rebecca Quirke 7.0% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 12.2% 11.6% 12.1% 12.8% 10.2% 6.9% 3.4% 0.7%
Kurran Singh 6.5% 7.0% 6.5% 9.5% 11.1% 12.9% 10.0% 12.8% 11.5% 8.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.