← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+3.39vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.49+1.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.64+2.62vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.17+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.87+2.82vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.12+0.98vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.19+0.42vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.41+0.45vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.19+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University0.37-0.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-0.46+2.21vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.08-1.14vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina0.22-2.80vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-6.02vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.05vs Predicted
-
16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-3.86vs Predicted
-
17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.39Jacksonville University2.1016.2%1st Place
-
3.79College of Charleston2.4921.8%1st Place
-
5.62University of Miami1.6410.1%1st Place
-
6.83Eckerd College1.178.4%1st Place
-
7.82Clemson University0.875.2%1st Place
-
6.98North Carolina State University1.125.5%1st Place
-
7.42University of South Florida1.196.2%1st Place
-
8.45Rollins College0.414.7%1st Place
-
10.36The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
-
9.7Florida State University0.373.6%1st Place
-
13.21University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
-
10.86Wake Forest University0.082.5%1st Place
-
10.2University of North Carolina0.222.9%1st Place
-
7.98Florida Institute of Technology0.735.5%1st Place
-
12.95Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
-
12.14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.7%1st Place
-
14.3Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Noah Jost | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.