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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.50+5.69vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.27+7.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+0.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-1.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-3.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.47vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.43vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.37-1.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.73-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.43Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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3.27Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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6.27Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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10.43Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.34Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.08Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby McLaughlin | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 21.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 23.6% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.4% | 23.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 48.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.