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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+2.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+1.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+2.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-1.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19-2.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73-1.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.50-2.52vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.37-0.84vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.27-1.50vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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4.92Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.27Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.21Brown University3.020.3%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.16Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.5Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.57Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 22.7% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 25.6% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 17.9% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 26.0% | 21.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.