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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robby Gearon 22.7% 19.6% 16.8% 14.5% 10.7% 6.8% 4.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 6.3% 8.8% 10.4% 9.4% 11.4% 12.7% 10.9% 12.8% 9.8% 4.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Sean Beaulieu 11.3% 10.7% 12.0% 10.3% 14.0% 12.3% 11.2% 8.9% 5.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 4.7% 7.5% 6.9% 10.2% 9.8% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 9.8% 8.8% 4.5% 1.4%
Sophie Hibben 25.6% 20.8% 16.8% 11.7% 9.5% 6.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Winter 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 8.8% 10.9% 14.9% 17.5% 13.7% 5.7%
Benjamin Craig 11.0% 11.3% 11.9% 13.0% 12.3% 10.4% 11.8% 7.2% 6.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Rebecca Quirke 7.2% 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 11.4% 11.4% 12.3% 9.8% 8.6% 3.3% 1.2%
Bobby McLaughlin 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.7% 9.1% 11.1% 12.4% 14.0% 12.3% 9.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Amy Macdonald 1.6% 1.6% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 5.9% 6.7% 13.1% 16.6% 23.4% 17.9%
Thomas Beardsley 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 6.8% 10.2% 17.1% 26.0% 21.5%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 5.9% 10.6% 20.1% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.