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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria0.93+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.06+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.39-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.30-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.65-1.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Alley | 14.1% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Brian MacLean | 16.1% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| David Berry | 38.8% | 26.8% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 7.8% |
| Theo Truax | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 23.1% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 40.8% |
| James Melvin | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.