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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.93-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.30+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.65-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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2.25University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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3.65University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 17.4% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| David Berry | 39.2% | 26.0% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 15.0% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Theo Truax | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 24.4% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 14.3% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 40.7% |
| James Melvin | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.