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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria1.87+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.39+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.06-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.30-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.65-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.63University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 40.4% | 28.3% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Brian MacLean | 16.4% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| Ted Alley | 13.9% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Theo Truax | 4.9% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 25.7% |
| James Melvin | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.