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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.93+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.65-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Alley | 14.8% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Brian MacLean | 16.1% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| David Berry | 39.5% | 26.3% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| James Melvin | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 9.9% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 41.8% |
| Theo Truax | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.