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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.06+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.30-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.65-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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4.6University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 41.0% | 26.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian MacLean | 16.3% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% |
| Ted Alley | 13.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Theo Truax | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 24.3% |
| James Melvin | 7.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.