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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.39-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.30-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.65-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.6University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Victoria-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 17.6% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 15.2% |
| David Berry | 38.8% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Ted Alley | 13.1% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Theo Truax | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 25.6% |
| James Melvin | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 11.3% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.