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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.93+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.06+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87-2.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.30-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.65-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Victoria0.930.2%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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4.62University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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5.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Alley | 15.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Brian MacLean | 16.9% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
| David Berry | 39.5% | 25.4% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
| Theo Truax | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 26.7% |
| James Melvin | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 22.6% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.