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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland2.09+6.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.18vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.84+5.05vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.77-1.25vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.67+3.13vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.46+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.54-3.67vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-5.03vs Predicted
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11St. John's College1.42+0.09vs Predicted
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12American University2.24-3.11vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.27-1.70vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.84-6.93vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-10.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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4.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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10.05Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.13Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.27Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.09St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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8.89American University2.240.0%1st Place
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11.3William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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7.07George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 16.0% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 15.6% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.