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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.78vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+2.48vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.17+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.64+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.38vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.37+3.55vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.87+0.88vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19+2.49vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-0.50vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.12-3.26vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.22-1.97vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.67vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+0.31vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.98vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78College of Charleston2.4921.2%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University2.1015.3%1st Place
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6.71Eckerd College1.178.6%1st Place
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5.64University of Miami1.6410.6%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida1.196.4%1st Place
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9.55Florida State University0.373.2%1st Place
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7.88Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
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10.49The Citadel0.192.7%1st Place
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8.5Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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6.74North Carolina State University1.127.0%1st Place
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10.79Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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10.03University of North Carolina0.223.1%1st Place
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8.33Florida Institute of Technology0.734.8%1st Place
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14.31Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.4%1st Place
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13.02Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
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12.17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.6%1st Place
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13.21University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 21.2% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Noah Jost | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 36.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.