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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.93+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.39-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.65-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.30-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Victoria0.930.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 16.7% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Ted Alley | 15.1% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| David Berry | 39.0% | 26.7% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| James Melvin | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 42.3% |
| Theo Truax | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.