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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.39+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.93-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.65-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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4.62University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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3.64University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 17.5% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| David Berry | 38.9% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ted Alley | 14.4% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| James Melvin | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| Theo Truax | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 26.4% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.