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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.65-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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4.6University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 41.6% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brian MacLean | 17.1% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| James Melvin | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 10.1% |
| Ted Alley | 13.1% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.9% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| Theo Truax | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 22.8% | 26.6% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.