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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.93+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.65+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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5.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 40.4% | 26.9% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian MacLean | 17.0% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Ted Alley | 14.9% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 7.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 13.9% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 40.3% |
| James Melvin | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 11.3% |
| Theo Truax | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.