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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.93+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.39-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.37-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.30-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.65-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of California at Irvine1.060.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.97University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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5.06University of British Columbia0.370.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Victoria-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 16.3% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ted Alley | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| James Melvin | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
| David Berry | 35.9% | 26.5% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% |
| Joren Jackson | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Theo Truax | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 22.4% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 13.0% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.