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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.08+4.11vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.59+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.72-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.50-3.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Victoria0.500.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Tagatac | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Dylan Shaver | 16.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Manuel Gomez | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Bishop | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% |
| Natalie Hopper | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 13.3% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 29.3% |
| David Luu | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.