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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.59+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.08+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.41+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.72-4.28vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.50-4.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 18.1% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Philip Tagatac | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Manuel Gomez | 16.8% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 29.6% |
| David Luu | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.