← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.59+3.01vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.66vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine0.08+1.25vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.61vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-0.44vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria0.50-3.81vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria-0.41-2.76vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria0.72-6.25vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
-
5.66University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
-
7.61University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
-
4.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
-
4.19University of Victoria0.500.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
-
7.88University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Philip Tagatac | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Ellen Suder | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 30.4% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.4% |
| Manuel Gomez | 18.9% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| David Luu | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 20.9% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.