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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.50+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.72+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.59+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.08+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.41-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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5.63University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leh Smallshaw | 16.7% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Manuel Gomez | 18.4% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Shaver | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Hopper | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Philip Tagatac | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 12.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 30.0% |
| David Luu | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 38.4% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.