← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.59+2.97vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.11+3.68vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+0.98vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.57vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria0.50-1.77vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine0.08-1.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria0.72-4.25vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.48vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria-0.41-4.70vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
-
4.23University of Victoria0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.13University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
-
7.52University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
6.3University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 18.0% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Philip Tagatac | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Manuel Gomez | 17.1% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 28.5% |
| Colin Bishop | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| David Luu | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.