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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+3.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.77+1.61vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+1.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland2.09+3.46vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.67+3.15vs Predicted
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8American University2.24+0.85vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.84-1.76vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-5.10vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.84-0.91vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46-3.73vs Predicted
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14St. John's College1.42-3.00vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.27-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-11.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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10.15Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.85American University2.240.0%1st Place
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7.24George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.09Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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8.27Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.0St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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11.3William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 15.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 14.1% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.