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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+3.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+4.31vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.12+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.50vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+0.59vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+1.43vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.95vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19+0.51vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08-0.45vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.20vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.87-5.21vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina0.22-4.93vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.72-2.81vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Jacksonville University2.1016.2%1st Place
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3.9College of Charleston2.4919.9%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida1.196.9%1st Place
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6.98North Carolina State University1.126.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Miami1.6411.8%1st Place
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6.59Eckerd College1.178.4%1st Place
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8.58Rollins College0.414.9%1st Place
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9.43Florida State University0.373.1%1st Place
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8.05Florida Institute of Technology0.735.8%1st Place
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10.51The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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10.55Wake Forest University0.082.6%1st Place
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14.2Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University0.874.2%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-0.521.2%1st Place
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10.07University of North Carolina0.222.9%1st Place
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13.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.721.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 19.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 35.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| John Kelley | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.