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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.59+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.72+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.08+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.50-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.41-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.18-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Victoria0.500.1%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.55University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Manuel Gomez | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Philip Tagatac | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 11.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.1% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 29.0% |
| David Luu | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.