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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria0.59+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.50-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.41-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.18-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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5.67University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Victoria0.500.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 18.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Hopper | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 18.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Colin Bishop | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| David Luu | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 36.2% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.