← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Victoria0.59+1.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria0.50+1.24vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.72vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine0.08+0.21vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.14vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria0.72-3.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria-0.41-3.73vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.18-3.15vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.99University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
-
4.24University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
-
5.72University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.21University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.72University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
-
5.55University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.27University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 17.6% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Manuel Gomez | 19.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 10.9% |
| David Luu | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 20.2% | 36.2% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.