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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria0.59+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.08+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.41-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.18-3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.86University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Shaver | 18.8% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 15.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Philip Tagatac | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Hopper | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Manuel Gomez | 17.9% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Colin Bishop | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% |
| David Luu | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 21.1% | 35.4% |
| Ellen Suder | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.