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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Irvine-1.02+5.09vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.72-4.40vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.50-4.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.08-5.01vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.59-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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5.22University of California at San Diego-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Victoria0.720.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellen Suder | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 41.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Hopper | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Manuel Gomez | 19.9% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Philip Tagatac | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Dylan Shaver | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.