Race 2A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Roleke 19.6% 26.8% 22.4% 14.9% 10.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 5.6% 7.7% 10.9% 11.3% 16.0% 15.8% 15.3% 10.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 13.0% 16.1% 22.0% 19.7% 13.0% 9.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 46.0% 28.8% 15.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.8% 6.2% 8.4% 13.1% 12.7% 15.4% 14.5% 11.0% 8.6% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 2.6% 5.2% 6.2% 9.5% 11.3% 14.5% 15.3% 15.5% 11.8% 6.0% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 5.7% 8.0% 10.2% 14.2% 15.4% 15.2% 13.9% 8.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 2.6% 5.2% 6.2% 9.5% 11.3% 14.5% 15.3% 15.5% 11.8% 6.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 3.3% 4.0% 7.6% 10.1% 12.6% 13.5% 15.3% 12.4% 11.6% 7.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.5% 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 6.6% 9.6% 11.6% 13.9% 16.6% 18.4% 11.9% 0.0%
Emily Hann 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 5.9% 6.5% 8.1% 12.1% 15.0% 21.2% 22.7% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 8.4% 11.4% 18.1% 45.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.