Race 3A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 45.7% 29.8% 16.4% 5.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 14.4% 18.8% 22.4% 17.7% 11.7% 8.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.2% 6.3% 5.9% 11.7% 15.0% 15.5% 13.7% 14.5% 8.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 19.6% 23.2% 23.9% 16.9% 9.4% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 10.6% 11.6% 12.7% 14.0% 14.8% 11.2% 8.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 3.0% 5.5% 6.1% 8.9% 12.8% 13.5% 13.3% 16.1% 12.2% 6.5% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 5.6% 6.8% 9.2% 15.4% 17.0% 14.5% 13.0% 9.6% 4.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 5.8% 9.6% 11.3% 13.6% 12.9% 13.2% 15.6% 10.1% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 7.2% 9.4% 11.2% 13.6% 16.4% 18.0% 12.7% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 8.6% 11.6% 16.1% 47.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 3.0% 5.5% 6.1% 8.9% 12.8% 13.5% 13.3% 16.1% 12.2% 6.5% 0.0%
Emily Hann 1.0% 1.1% 2.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 9.6% 10.2% 18.2% 22.0% 19.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.