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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+3.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.77+2.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland2.09+5.34vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.67+5.42vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.54-0.61vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-1.53vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.84+1.89vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.84-1.76vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.46-1.64vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-6.03vs Predicted
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12St. John's College1.42-0.92vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.27-1.76vs Predicted
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15American University2.24-6.26vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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9.34University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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10.42Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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9.89Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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7.24George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.36Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.08St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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11.24William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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8.74American University2.240.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 16.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.