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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.87+6.75vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+3.70vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.52+9.85vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+2.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49-1.24vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12+0.84vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+3.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10-3.61vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.19-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.46+3.24vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.22-2.07vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University0.08-3.29vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-6.54vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-6.46vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Miami1.6410.3%1st Place
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12.85Embry-Riddle University-0.521.4%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College1.177.2%1st Place
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3.76College of Charleston2.4922.1%1st Place
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6.84North Carolina State University1.127.6%1st Place
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10.31The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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4.39Jacksonville University2.1016.4%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.195.8%1st Place
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13.24University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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8.01Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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9.93University of North Carolina0.223.1%1st Place
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13.25Georgia Institute of Technology-0.720.9%1st Place
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10.71Wake Forest University0.082.2%1st Place
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8.46Rollins College0.414.6%1st Place
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9.54Florida State University0.373.7%1st Place
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14.17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Steven Hardee | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Zechariah Frantz | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Noah Zittrer | 22.1% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
Owen Bannasch | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Humberto Porrata | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Noah Jost | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
John Kelley | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
Johnny Perkins | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Carter Weatherilt | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.