Race 5A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 46.3% 29.4% 15.2% 7.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 15.0% 17.5% 23.7% 16.8% 12.7% 8.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 18.0% 27.4% 21.4% 15.8% 11.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 4.4% 6.3% 8.8% 11.6% 16.8% 16.3% 12.8% 12.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.8% 5.3% 9.0% 13.1% 14.4% 12.8% 15.3% 11.5% 7.9% 5.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 6.4% 6.9% 10.5% 12.4% 13.3% 16.3% 16.1% 10.8% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 3.7% 4.5% 7.2% 9.7% 12.6% 14.1% 15.0% 14.3% 10.0% 6.0% 2.9% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 3.0% 2.0% 5.0% 7.6% 11.4% 12.0% 13.1% 14.5% 14.2% 12.9% 4.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 3.0% 2.0% 5.0% 7.6% 11.4% 12.0% 13.1% 14.5% 14.2% 12.9% 4.3% 0.0%
Emily Hann 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.7% 3.4% 6.8% 8.8% 10.8% 14.9% 20.8% 25.7% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.4% 2.8% 3.4% 5.6% 6.9% 9.6% 12.5% 13.2% 17.5% 16.9% 10.2% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 2.4% 2.6% 5.7% 4.4% 7.7% 11.8% 19.0% 44.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.