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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.88vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.87vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.36+0.60vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.15+1.89vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.49+2.04vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+1.04vs Predicted
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7American University-1.82+2.46vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.16-1.77vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.28-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.83-2.20vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.72-3.54vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-1.24-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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2.87Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.2%1st Place
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3.6Christopher Newport University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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7.04Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.04Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.46American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.23Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.35William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.46Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.0% | 28.9% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 21.3% | 25.7% | 22.3% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 12.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Hann | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.