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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.88vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.15+3.72vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.36+0.58vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.03vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.83+1.78vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.09vs Predicted
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8American University-1.82+1.41vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.28-3.49vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.49-3.09vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.72-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-1.24-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88SUNY Stony Brook2.590.5%1st Place
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5.72William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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3.58Christopher Newport University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.2%1st Place
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6.38Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.41American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.51William and Mary0.280.1%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.43Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 47.0% | 29.4% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 12.6% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 20.0% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Hann | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.