Race 8A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 47.3% 28.5% 15.6% 6.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.9% 4.1% 9.1% 13.1% 16.6% 14.5% 13.1% 12.4% 7.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 18.9% 25.3% 23.6% 15.8% 10.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 2.7% 4.4% 6.3% 7.4% 9.8% 16.1% 17.0% 13.8% 11.4% 7.5% 3.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.4% 3.3% 4.2% 7.4% 9.1% 12.1% 14.3% 11.9% 16.4% 12.6% 6.3% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.3% 0.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 7.9% 10.0% 19.3% 47.3% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 7.8% 10.2% 11.1% 15.3% 15.7% 16.3% 11.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.4% 3.3% 4.2% 7.4% 9.1% 12.1% 14.3% 11.9% 16.4% 12.6% 6.3% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 6.0% 9.6% 11.1% 12.5% 14.0% 14.1% 15.7% 9.6% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 4.8% 6.4% 9.2% 14.7% 16.1% 13.5% 13.5% 11.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Samara Leith 14.3% 20.8% 21.2% 18.4% 12.5% 6.8% 3.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Hann 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 4.8% 3.8% 7.8% 9.6% 10.8% 16.7% 21.8% 20.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.