Race 9A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 46.9% 29.0% 15.0% 6.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 21.2% 26.0% 23.3% 13.3% 10.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 12.4% 16.8% 23.0% 18.9% 13.0% 9.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 6.8% 8.1% 11.2% 14.0% 15.1% 15.7% 12.1% 7.9% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 13.2% 14.2% 14.8% 11.5% 12.7% 7.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 2.7% 4.8% 6.3% 10.9% 11.4% 12.1% 16.1% 13.4% 10.3% 9.4% 2.6% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 7.8% 12.4% 11.7% 14.6% 17.0% 14.0% 8.0% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 6.4% 7.5% 10.3% 12.9% 13.4% 15.3% 16.0% 11.9% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 4.6% 7.0% 9.6% 13.1% 17.2% 13.4% 13.7% 10.3% 6.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 6.8% 8.1% 11.2% 14.0% 15.1% 15.7% 12.1% 7.9% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.6% 0.5% 1.8% 1.5% 3.7% 4.4% 4.8% 9.1% 10.1% 16.1% 47.4% 0.0%
Emily Hann 0.9% 1.2% 2.4% 4.2% 4.9% 7.8% 9.5% 9.1% 16.6% 24.0% 19.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.