Race 10A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 44.6% 28.8% 18.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 3.7% 5.5% 9.3% 12.9% 16.1% 14.9% 13.9% 11.3% 7.2% 4.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 6.9% 8.2% 12.3% 13.7% 15.4% 16.3% 11.9% 6.3% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 3.8% 6.3% 8.0% 13.2% 16.8% 16.1% 14.9% 11.3% 5.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.6% 2.2% 3.8% 4.8% 6.9% 10.2% 11.8% 13.2% 16.7% 17.5% 11.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 6.9% 8.2% 12.3% 13.7% 15.4% 16.3% 11.9% 6.3% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 1.7% 2.2% 4.3% 4.6% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 13.9% 16.3% 15.0% 10.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 23.1% 25.8% 21.4% 15.4% 8.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 3.4% 3.9% 6.4% 10.3% 13.8% 16.1% 13.1% 14.0% 8.5% 8.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Emily Hann 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 9.7% 11.9% 16.2% 21.0% 23.2% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 3.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.1% 12.4% 18.6% 44.8% 0.0%
Samara Leith 14.4% 20.1% 21.1% 19.6% 11.9% 6.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.