Race 11A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 46.8% 29.7% 14.4% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 21.3% 26.6% 21.0% 15.1% 8.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 11.9% 17.2% 22.7% 18.9% 14.1% 8.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cynthia Ciccotelli 4.5% 5.3% 10.3% 12.0% 16.0% 14.9% 15.2% 10.7% 6.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 4.7% 5.9% 8.9% 13.5% 13.9% 14.3% 13.8% 12.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 2.8% 5.1% 6.8% 9.5% 11.8% 13.1% 15.1% 13.8% 13.7% 6.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 2.1% 2.8% 5.1% 6.8% 9.5% 11.8% 13.1% 15.1% 13.8% 13.7% 6.2% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.8% 3.5% 3.2% 4.4% 7.3% 9.2% 12.8% 15.0% 15.6% 15.6% 11.6% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 3.7% 4.0% 6.7% 10.7% 14.0% 13.7% 13.0% 12.8% 12.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 1.7% 3.3% 3.4% 5.5% 6.5% 10.8% 12.7% 13.8% 16.4% 16.3% 9.6% 0.0%
Emily Hann 0.9% 1.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.7% 7.9% 10.5% 15.9% 22.5% 22.0% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.8% 4.7% 5.2% 7.9% 10.7% 17.8% 46.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.