Race 1B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Vrooman 7.9% 7.9% 11.4% 10.7% 17.5% 15.4% 15.0% 11.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 33.2% 29.1% 14.3% 11.6% 7.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 19.3% 18.3% 17.9% 18.3% 11.9% 9.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Kilgore 14.8% 16.2% 18.3% 16.0% 13.9% 10.8% 7.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 8.4% 11.2% 12.6% 15.0% 14.5% 15.4% 12.3% 7.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Jeremy-Miles Rellosa 4.9% 5.8% 8.3% 10.2% 11.4% 16.6% 20.3% 16.3% 6.2% 0.0%
John Vrooman 7.9% 7.9% 11.4% 10.7% 17.5% 15.4% 15.0% 11.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Sean Hunt 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 5.9% 11.5% 24.8% 46.1% 0.0%
Veronica Lane 8.3% 6.9% 12.3% 12.2% 16.4% 15.2% 15.6% 9.0% 4.1% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 7.7% 13.2% 28.0% 36.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.