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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.76vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+4.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+1.63vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.52vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+4.39vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+0.17vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University0.08+2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.46+4.01vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.58-1.00vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.37-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.22-1.96vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.12-6.27vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.87-6.24vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.11vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.72-2.97vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76College of Charleston2.4921.1%1st Place
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6.67Eckerd College1.178.2%1st Place
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4.63Jacksonville University2.1014.7%1st Place
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8.08Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Miami1.6411.0%1st Place
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10.39The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida1.197.6%1st Place
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10.6Wake Forest University0.082.9%1st Place
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13.01University of Central Florida-0.461.0%1st Place
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9.0Rollins College0.583.8%1st Place
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9.51Florida State University0.373.4%1st Place
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10.04University of North Carolina0.222.6%1st Place
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6.73North Carolina State University1.126.8%1st Place
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7.76Clemson University0.876.0%1st Place
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12.89Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
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13.03Georgia Institute of Technology-0.721.1%1st Place
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14.21Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 21.1% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| John Kelley | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 19.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.