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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+3.19vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.67+8.25vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+2.62vs Predicted
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5American University2.24+3.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.09+2.41vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.46-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.54-3.81vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.77-5.34vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.84-0.88vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.79vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.27-1.59vs Predicted
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14St. John's College1.42-3.05vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.84-7.92vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
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10.25Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.97American University2.240.0%1st Place
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4.96Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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7.97Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.66Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.12Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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11.41William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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10.95St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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7.08George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 16.6% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 17.1% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.