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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.37vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.46+3.19vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33+0.65vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.46-0.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.46-0.81vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.22-3.29vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-2.09-1.37vs Predicted
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10American University-1.93-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.4%1st Place
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5.19Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary0.480.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.9Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.19Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.71Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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5.74William and Mary-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Buffalo-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.45American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 36.5% | 25.8% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 19.5% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Kilgore | 14.4% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy-Miles Rellosa | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Sean Hunt | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 24.9% | 46.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 29.5% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.