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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.80+1.95vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.60vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.46+2.19vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48-0.59vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.46+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.33-1.23vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.84-1.25vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-2.09-1.30vs Predicted
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10American University-1.93-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Christopher Newport University0.800.3%1st Place
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2.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.3%1st Place
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5.19Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.41William and Mary0.480.2%1st Place
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5.19Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.75William and Mary-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.17Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Buffalo-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.47American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kempton | 25.3% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 28.7% | 27.6% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 17.2% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy-Miles Rellosa | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Hunt | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 25.9% | 45.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 27.7% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.