Race 4B

william-mary-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Vrooman 6.4% 7.1% 9.5% 12.9% 17.1% 17.3% 15.1% 11.5% 3.1% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 28.8% 27.2% 18.4% 13.2% 7.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 7.4% 8.3% 11.0% 13.9% 16.5% 17.7% 15.4% 7.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 24.0% 22.9% 20.3% 15.4% 9.3% 5.0% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 19.4% 18.5% 19.6% 13.6% 12.4% 10.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
John Vrooman 6.4% 7.1% 9.5% 12.9% 17.1% 17.3% 15.1% 11.5% 3.1% 0.0%
Jeremy-Miles Rellosa 4.3% 6.1% 6.5% 10.5% 11.9% 17.9% 21.2% 14.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Sean Hunt 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.8% 10.7% 25.5% 46.3% 0.0%
Veronica Lane 7.2% 6.1% 10.1% 13.7% 17.5% 15.9% 15.7% 9.7% 4.1% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 7.1% 13.4% 28.8% 37.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.