Race 5B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew O'Brien 33.2% 24.6% 20.4% 11.9% 5.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 20.7% 23.3% 19.4% 16.2% 10.8% 5.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 6.2% 8.9% 10.8% 14.0% 15.6% 19.7% 14.3% 8.4% 2.1% 0.0%
John Vrooman 6.3% 9.0% 9.8% 14.2% 15.3% 15.9% 17.1% 9.8% 2.6% 0.0%
Rachel Pinkham 19.0% 19.6% 16.8% 15.4% 14.3% 7.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy-Miles Rellosa 4.5% 4.9% 7.3% 8.8% 14.3% 18.4% 19.2% 15.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Veronica Lane 6.6% 6.9% 9.9% 12.6% 16.5% 17.9% 15.9% 10.6% 3.1% 0.0%
John Vrooman 6.3% 9.0% 9.8% 14.2% 15.3% 15.9% 17.1% 9.8% 2.6% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.6% 1.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 6.6% 12.1% 29.2% 37.9% 0.0%
Sean Hunt 1.9% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.2% 12.0% 22.9% 47.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.