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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.33+3.06vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.46+2.17vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48-0.64vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.46+0.02vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.46-0.83vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.80-4.06vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.84-2.21vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-2.09-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.3%1st Place
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5.06University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.17Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary0.480.2%1st Place
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5.02Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.17Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.94Christopher Newport University0.800.2%1st Place
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5.79William and Mary-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.46American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Buffalo-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 33.9% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 17.3% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 22.7% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy-Miles Rellosa | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 29.0% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Hunt | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 25.1% | 46.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.