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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.03vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.46+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.33+1.97vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.26+0.91vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.48-1.29vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.27vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.46-1.77vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-2.74vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Christopher Newport University1.710.4%1st Place
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5.26Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.91William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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2.73Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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5.23Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.26Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.16American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 43.8% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 11.7% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 22.4% | 27.9% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.