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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.03vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.33+2.00vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.46+1.22vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.26-0.13vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.46-1.78vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46-2.73vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Christopher Newport University1.710.4%1st Place
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2.77Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.69William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.27Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.15American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 44.0% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 22.8% | 27.1% | 21.7% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 11.9% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 64.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.