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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.01vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.74vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33+1.05vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.46+0.23vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.26-1.15vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.46-1.74vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-2.77vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Christopher Newport University1.710.4%1st Place
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2.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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3.73William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.85William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.26Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.12American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 43.6% | 28.8% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 23.2% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 12.1% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 22.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 63.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.