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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+1.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+1.83vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.49+1.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.20-1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.79+0.31vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.67-2.34vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-1.63-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Columbia University0.0926.2%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7113.2%1st Place
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4.97SUNY Stony Brook-1.495.5%1st Place
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2.44SUNY Maritime College0.2031.2%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Military Academy-1.794.7%1st Place
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3.66Hamilton College-0.6713.1%1st Place
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5.11Stevens Institute of Technology-1.636.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 26.2% | 26.0% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 13.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 23.8% |
| Andrew Embry | 31.2% | 27.5% | 19.9% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Justin McDaniel | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 33.9% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Luke Saletta | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.