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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.43+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Florida3.41+0.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.47+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.93+0.04vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.48-0.32vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.20+1.18vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.06-0.18vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.05-1.16vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.50-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of South Florida3.430.4%1st Place
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2.29University of Florida3.410.3%1st Place
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3.39Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.04University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
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4.68Rollins College1.480.1%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.82Eckerd College0.060.0%1st Place
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6.84Florida Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.57Embry-Riddle University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Reynolds | 36.6% | 28.0% | 20.7% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 32.9% | 29.7% | 20.3% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 13.0% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 22.5% | 16.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam DePrimo | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonathon Norcross | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Kristoffer Bostic | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 24.3% | 25.7% |
| Duncan MacLeod | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 15.5% |
| Zach Kowalski | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 22.0% | 18.6% |
| Michael Mierswa | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.