← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.12vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.94+2.09vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.77+1.63vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.67+0.88vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia3.54+0.34vs Predicted
-
6American University2.24+3.02vs Predicted
-
7Washington College2.46+1.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland2.09+1.29vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.84-1.77vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-4.34vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary1.27+0.43vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University1.84-1.99vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.67-2.67vs Predicted
-
15St. John's College1.42-4.06vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia3.54-10.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
-
4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
-
4.63Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
-
4.88Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.34University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
9.02American University2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.03Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
-
7.23George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.43William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.01Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
-
10.33Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
-
10.94St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.34University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 16.0% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.