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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.76vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+2.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.17+3.65vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.36vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.87+1.71vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+3.42vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.64-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22+0.87vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.12-2.99vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.37-1.30vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-0.04vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.08-2.32vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-5.82vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-1.75vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.01vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76College of Charleston2.4921.9%1st Place
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4.31Jacksonville University2.1017.3%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College1.177.4%1st Place
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9.13Rollins College0.583.3%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.196.1%1st Place
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7.71Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
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10.42The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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5.68University of Miami1.6410.7%1st Place
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9.87University of North Carolina0.223.3%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University1.127.5%1st Place
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9.7Florida State University0.372.9%1st Place
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11.96Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.5%1st Place
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10.68Wake Forest University0.082.8%1st Place
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8.18Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
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13.25University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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12.99Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
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14.35Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 21.9% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.